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Forecasting the 2024 US Presidential Election

Thu, September 5, 10:00 to 11:30am, Marriott Philadelphia Downtown, 502

Session Submission Type: Full Paper Panel

Session Description

The 2020 US presidential election saw a large number of new forecasts. These new forecasts expanded upon the previous models that typically relied on statistical models that predicted the incumbent party's share of the national two-party vote. The new models included state-level forecasts, citizen forecasts and electoral college forecasts. This panel includes a variety of new forecasting methods and presents their final forecasts for 2024.

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