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Political Economy Forecasting Models for 2024
Fri, September 6, 2:00 to 3:30pm, Marriott Philadelphia Downtown, 415Abstract
Political economy forecasting models see elections as referendums on the incumbent party's handling of the economy and other issues. With an election pitting the sitting president against a former president, how will voters' evaluations of the economy influence the election outcome? We explore different economic models for forecasting the 2024 US presidential and congressional elections.