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Is It More Effective to Pressure Allies in Public or Private?

Sat, September 7, 4:00 to 5:30pm, Marriott Philadelphia Downtown, Franklin 1

Abstract

This paper challenges the conventional wisdom that US influence over allies is primarily dependent on a combination of public support and behind-the-scenes pressure. It argues that, contrary to this belief, public opposition can be a more effective tool in shaping ally behavior. The study highlights the common mistake made by US decision makers in underestimating the resilience of alliances and overestimating the fragility of these relationships. By examining the US relationships with Israel and Saudi Arabia, the paper provides empirical evidence to support its claims and offers recommendations for more effective diplomacy.

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