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Lame Duck by Primary: Effect of Electoral Incentives on the U.S. House Members

Fri, September 6, 11:00 to 11:30am, Pennsylvania Convention Center (PCC), Hall A (iPosters)

Abstract

In this article, I utilize primary elections to estimate how the behavior of representatives responds to changes in electoral incentives for upcoming elections. Specifically, I assess differences in various post-primary legislative behavior among U.S. House Representatives from 1954 to 2022. Most notably, the outcomes show that electoral incentives induce legislators' party-line stance but are not significantly related to ideological polarization.

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