The Role of Anti-establishment Orientations in 2024 Electoral Behavior

• In Event: Anti-establishment, Populist, and Conspiratorial Attitudes

Abstract

While partisanship and various manifestations of ideology are critically important predictors of general election vote choice, they are of less utility when it comes to intra-party decision-making. In this paper, we use anti-establishment orientations to explain differential support for and feelings toward primary contenders in 2024 U.S. presidential election. We find that anti-establishment orientations meaningfully organize not only candidate preferences, but attitudes about the political issues variously associated with candidates.

Authors

• Adam M. Enders, University of Louisville

• Casey Klofstad, University of Miami

• Joseph Uscinski, University of Miami