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Long-Range State-Level Presidential Forecast for 2024
Thu, September 5, 10:00 to 11:30am, Marriott Philadelphia Downtown, 502Abstract
This paper presents the forecast of the 2024 presidential election from my long-range state-level forecast model. The model generates forecasts for state-level outcomes a year in advance of the election, which can then be extrapolated up to national popular vote and Electoral College projections.