State Absenteeism: Public Goods Provision, Security, and Vigilantism

• In Event: Poster Session: Comparative Politics in Developing Countries & Foreign Policy
  In Poster Session: Poster Session: Comparative Politics in Developing Countries

Abstract

Vigilantism in Latin America constitutes a multifaceted and intricate political phenomenon, yielding profound repercussions on societal dynamics. Recent surveys conducted by the Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) have unveiled a disconcerting reality: approximately one in five survey participants in the region have reported experiencing crime within the past year. Confronted with these formidable challenges, citizens in the region have adopted a diverse array of strategies to exert pressure on their governments, imploring for decisive action against crime and violence. However, these efforts have frequently been met with limited government response, leaving citizen concerns unaddressed. In light of perceived governmental neglect, a notable consequence has been the emergence of vigilantism as a means for individuals to take matters into their own hands to combat crime and safeguard their communities.

This study aims to investigate the subnational factors influencing the prevalence of vigilantism and assess existing theories. A novel theory of state absenteeism is proposed, specifically focusing on the state's presence or absence as measured by the number of police stations within a municipality, to explain subnational variations in levels of vigilantism.

To test the theory of state absenteeism, an original dataset is utilized, encompassing the locations and construction years of all police stations in each of Guatemala's 331 municipalities. Employing logistic regression and negative binomial models, the analysis explores the relationship between state absenteeism (indicated by fewer police stations providing security) and the occurrence of vigilantism. Empirical findings reveal compelling results: greater state absenteeism corresponds with a heightened likelihood of vigilantism and an increase in the frequency of vigilante acts. This research offers valuable insights into the complexities of democratic governance, emphasizing the need for a robust state presence and responsiveness to citizen concerns to mitigate vigilantism and enhance security.

Author

• Katie Angell, University of Pittsburgh